Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 1
CEN
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
CEN
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 0
ARA
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 0
CAB
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
AME
0 - 2
CEN
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
YPI
75%
16%
10%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 1
NAU
18%
20%
62%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
NAU
4 - 1
POR
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 1
CAB
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |