Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CEN
3 - 1
SAL
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
CEN
1 - 5
PAL
13%
20%
68%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
CEN
4 - 2
YPI
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SAL
1 - 0
CEN
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CEN
4 - 0
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2008 |
SAL
1 - 0
NAU
12%
19%
70%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
NAU
6 - 1
YPI
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
NAU
3 - 0
JUV
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
NAU
5 - 1
SER
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SER
1 - 2
NAU
10%
17%
74%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |