Central SC vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
YPI
2 - 1
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CEN
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
YPI
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 0
POT
39%
26%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 0
CEN
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CEN
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
POT
1 - 1
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
TIR
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
YPI
1 - 1
GUA
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 1
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |