Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 1-2
Central SC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 0
CEN
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SER
1 - 2
CEN
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 0
CSA
63%
22%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 0
CEN
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 2
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
ALE
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 0
TRE
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
ALE
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |