Central & Western vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
77.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central & Western
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CWD
1 - 0
WON
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CWD
1 - 2
SCA
25%
23%
53%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SKU
1 - 1
CWD
16%
21%
63%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CWD
2 - 1
FUM
73%
15%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CWD
1 - 2
SKF
80%
12%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HON
1 - 1
TCS
80%
13%
8%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
HON
2 - 1
SCA
73%
16%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
HON
1 - 1
SHA
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HON
3 - 0
MUT
64%
19%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
KWU
0 - 3
HON
3%
9%
88%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |