Central United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 3
CEN
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
CEN
3 - 0
NAP
27%
22%
51%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CAV
1 - 1
CEN
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
CEN
2 - 3
CAN
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
MAN
6 - 0
CEN
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
3 - 1
NSH
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
4 - 1
MIR
32%
24%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
NAP
0 - 2
MAN
64%
20%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
TCU
5 - 0
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
MAN
6 - 0
CEN
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |