Central United vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 2
CEN
53%
23%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
CEN
1 - 0
CAV
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
EAU
1 - 3
CEN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CEN
3 - 2
MIR
34%
23%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CAN
4 - 3
CEN
48%
24%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
EAU
4 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 0
TCU
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CAN
2 - 0
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 2
CAV
46%
24%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 1
NSH
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |