Central Iguazu vs Timbó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Iguazu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
GAF
2 - 3
CIG
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 2
CDN
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 0
GAF
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | +7 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 1
CIG
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Timbó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
TBO
2 - 2
CAC
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TBO
2 - 1
CAP
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
RVB
3 - 1
TBO
10%
15%
75%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 3
TBO
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 1
TBO
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |