Central Español FC vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 4
CEN
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 0
PLA
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 0
BOS
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 2
CEN
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ATE
2 - 3
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
CSM
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 5
PRO
30%
25%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 2
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HFC
2 - 3
PRO
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
3 - 1
DEP
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |