Central Español FC vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 2
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 2
LFC
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
CEN
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
RAC
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MWA
0 - 0
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAN
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
RAC
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ETS
1 - 1
DEF
22%
27%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
JUV
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 4
DEF
29%
27%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |