Central Español FC vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 0
CEN
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CEN
2 - 2
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 1
RAC
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 3
CEN
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
DAN
1 - 1
CEN
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 3
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
DAN
3 - 0
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DEF
5 - 1
ATE
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |