Central Español FC vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LFC
2 - 0
CEN
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CEN
0 - 1
JUN
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ROC
0 - 1
CEN
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
PRO
3 - 2
CEN
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 1
CSC
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
GLP
3 - 0
DEF
33%
24%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 2
PRO
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CSC
0 - 3
DEF
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
BVS
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |