Mariners Academy vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
63.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mariners Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
BLA
4 - 0
CEN
79%
13%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 1
MAR
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 3
BLA
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SUT
1 - 0
CEN
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BON
5 - 1
CEN
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
API
1 - 1
MAN
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SYD
5 - 1
MAN
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 2
SOU
36%
24%
41%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 2
MAN
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 1
BON
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |