Centenary Stormers vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
WES
0 - 2
STO
12%
16%
72%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 4
SPR
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RED
2 - 6
STO
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STO
4 - 4
NEW
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
BRK
5 - 0
STO
32%
21%
47%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
SPR
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NEW
5 - 0
UNI
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WES
0 - 4
UNI
11%
15%
73%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
6 - 0
ACA
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
UNI
24%
20%
56%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |