Centenary Stormers vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 2
STO
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 1
STO
68%
16%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
STO
1 - 2
BRK
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
STO
0 - 1
GAP
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
STO
2 - 0
BAY
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
VIR
47%
21%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
4 - 3
ACA
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
BRK
2 - 3
UNI
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GAP
3 - 0
UNI
66%
18%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 0
UNI
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |