Centelles vs Aiguafreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+115%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 1
CEN
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SEU
0 - 0
CEN
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 3
SQB
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TAR
3 - 0
CEN
19%
19%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 1
OLG
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aiguafreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AIG
3 - 4
TOB
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 3
AIG
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AIG
1 - 5
SEU
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SQB
0 - 2
AIG
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AIG
1 - 1
TAR
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |