Centella vs CD Fortuna B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
57.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NCD
4 - 5
CEN
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 5
GIG
20%
20%
60%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
RYB
5 - 2
CEN
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 2
SPB
34%
20%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PVE
3 - 0
CEN
38%
22%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
CD Fortuna B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FOB
6 - 0
ADL
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
3 - 2
FOB
20%
20%
59%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FOB
4 - 5
SIL
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
UCA
2 - 3
FOB
19%
20%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FOB
3 - 2
SJZ
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |