Centauros vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centauros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
EQU
1 - 0
CEN
72%
19%
10%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SAB
2 - 1
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 1
REA
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
SFE
3 - 0
CEN
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 2
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
CAR
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
AGU
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 1
UNI
84%
11%
4%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
RSC
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |