Centauros vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centauros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEN
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
CEN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
BOG
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
UNI
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 0
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
TFC
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 1
REA
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
REA
2 - 3
ACA
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COR
1 - 0
REA
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |