CENE vs UMJEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
COR
2 - 2
CEN
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
7DE
0 - 3
CEN
16%
20%
65%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CEN
5 - 0
RIO
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 1
CHA
63%
19%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
CEN
32%
23%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UMJEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
UMJ
1 - 2
AGU
20%
23%
57%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
UMJ
1 - 1
COR
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | +1 |