CENE vs Operário MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
CEN
3 - 5
FLU
12%
18%
70%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
COX
2 - 1
CEN
25%
22%
53%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
CEN
4 - 1
RIO
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
TRE
1 - 3
CEN
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
PAN
1 - 2
CEN
10%
16%
75%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MUN
2 - 1
OPE
10%
17%
74%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
OPE
7 - 2
PAN
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 18 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 1
OPE
25%
23%
52%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
OPE
2 - 2
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 21 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
BOT
5 - 1
OPE
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |