CENE vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 2
CEN
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 0
IVI
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
IVI
0 - 1
CEN
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 0
7DE
70%
17%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
7DE
0 - 3
CEN
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 2
CEN
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 2
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
NAV
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
NAV
34%
25%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |