CENE vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 0
CEN
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 2
MUN
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
MUN
0 - 2
CEN
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 3
CEN
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 1
AQU
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 0
CEN
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAV
32%
24%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
IVI
2 - 1
NAV
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
NAV
4 - 3
MUN
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |