CENE vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2009 |
AQU
0 - 0
CEN
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CEN
3 - 1
7DE
64%
20%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 1
IVI
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 1
CEN
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CEN
2 - 2
AQU
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 2
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
MIS
0 - 3
NAV
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NAV
3 - 2
COS
45%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
NAV
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
NAV
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |