CENE vs Misto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
CEN
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 2
COS
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 2
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CUI
3 - 1
CEN
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MIS
2 - 0
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
MIS
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MIS
0 - 3
CHA
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
3 - 0
MIS
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
MIS
2 - 1
CEN
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |