CENE vs Misto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
11%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
3 - 1
AQU
71%
17%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
CEN
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 2
BRA
72%
17%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 2
COS
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
CEN
20%
21%
59%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 2
MIS
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
MIS
0 - 1
COS
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 2
MIS
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 1
COM
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AQU
1 - 1
MIS
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |