CENE vs Misto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
SAA
1 - 3
CEN
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 0
AQU
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
CEN
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
3 - 3
COM
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 3
ATM
13%
19%
69%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
2 - 0
SAA
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
AQU
1 - 0
MIS
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
5 - 0
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 2
MIS
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
2 - 1
COM
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |