CENE vs Misto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
OPE
0 - 4
CEN
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CEN
2 - 0
COX
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 2
CEN
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
CEN
1 - 3
MIS
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
CEN
1 - 3
COS
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
MIS
2 - 2
COS
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 0
MIS
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
MIS
0 - 2
IVI
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
IVI
2 - 1
MIS
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
CEN
1 - 3
MIS
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |