Sul-Matogrossense Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
CENE vs Itaporã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
CEN
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MIS
1 - 4
CEN
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
CEN
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 3
COS
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 1
CEN
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Itaporã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
CEN
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
COR
3 - 1
ITA
51%
23%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
IVI
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 2
ITA
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
4 - 0
PAN
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |