CENE vs Itaporã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 2
CEN
24%
24%
53%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CEN
3 - 0
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 1
COS
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MIS
1 - 1
CEN
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
CEN
3 - 1
OPE
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Itaporã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
ITA
23%
24%
54%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
5 - 2
CAM
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
ITA
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 0
COX
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
OPE
0 - 5
ITA
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |