CENE vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CUI
3 - 1
CEN
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
MIS
2 - 1
CEN
28%
25%
48%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
5 - 1
CEN
28%
24%
49%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 2
COM
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 1
CUI
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
COM
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
COS
5 - 4
CHA
60%
21%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
MIS
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MIS
1 - 2
CHA
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |