CENE vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
1 - 2
CEN
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAA
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AQU
2 - 0
CEN
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 1
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
CEN
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SAA
1 - 1
CHA
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
AQU
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
CHA
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
COM
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
CHA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |