CENE vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
7 - 1
RIO
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
AQU
0 - 0
CEN
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
COM
0 - 1
CEN
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 0
SAA
74%
16%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
CEN
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
COM
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAA
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
CHA
24%
23%
54%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
OPE
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
AQU
4 - 0
CHA
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -3 |