CENE vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 1
SAA
74%
16%
11%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
AQU
1 - 2
CEN
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
COM
2 - 1
CEN
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
IVI
5 - 0
CEN
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 2
AGU
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
COM
3 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 1
MIS
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 3
CHA
30%
23%
47%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
COS
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
CEN
2 - 1
CHA
71%
17%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |