Sul-Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 5-3
CENE vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 3
CEN
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
COX
2 - 0
CEN
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CEN
2 - 2
OPE
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CEN
6 - 2
CHA
69%
18%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CEN
3 - 2
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 3
CEN
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
UMJ
1 - 5
CHA
18%
21%
61%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
COX
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CEN
6 - 2
CHA
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 2
COR
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |