CENE vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
CEN
3 - 2
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
CEN
14%
19%
67%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
CEN
0 - 1
COS
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
UMJ
1 - 3
CEN
13%
19%
69%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CEN
2 - 1
COR
43%
23%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 2
COR
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
7DE
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
RIO
0 - 2
CHA
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
AGU
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 0
OPE
25%
23%
53%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |