Sul-Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 1-2
CENE vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
CEN
32%
23%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
OPE
0 - 0
CEN
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 0
COX
77%
14%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 4
CEN
12%
17%
71%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CEN
9 - 0
PAN
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
CEN
32%
23%
46%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
7DE
1 - 2
CHA
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
CHA
4 - 0
PAN
74%
15%
11%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
COX
1 - 1
CHA
40%
23%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
OPE
0 - 0
CHA
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |