CENE vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 1
TRE
26%
23%
52%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
CEN
3 - 2
7DE
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
AGU
0 - 1
CEN
20%
20%
60%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CEN
3 - 0
MUN
85%
11%
5%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 3
CEN
9%
15%
76%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 2
AGU
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
MUN
0 - 2
CHA
25%
23%
51%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CHA
3 - 1
MAR
73%
15%
12%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 1
CHA
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
CHA
6 - 0
AGU
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |