CENE vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 6
CEN
11%
18%
71%
|
51 | 16 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
CEN
1 - 1
CIA
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CEN
7 - 0
AGU
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
RIO
0 - 2
CEN
12%
19%
69%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
CIA
2 - 1
CEN
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
RIO
3 - 4
CHA
33%
24%
42%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
SCI
2 - 0
CHA
84%
13%
4%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 1
OPE
10%
17%
74%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 2
SCI
10%
20%
70%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |