Sul-Matogrossense Quarter-finals
Global 6-0
CENE vs 7 de Setembro SM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
7DE
0 - 3
CEN
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
4 - 1
CEN
24%
23%
53%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 2
MIS
72%
16%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 5
CEN
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
AQU
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
7DE
0 - 3
CEN
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
7DE
4 - 1
COR
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
7DE
1 - 2
NAV
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
7DE
1 - 1
ITA
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 2
7DE
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |