Céltiga FC vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
USD
1 - 2
CEL
57%
23%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 3
VER
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LAL
1 - 1
CEL
54%
23%
22%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 0
UDA
45%
26%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
POR
5 - 1
CEL
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
OUR
1 - 4
CDV
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
OUR
3 - 2
MON
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BAB
1 - 0
OUR
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
OUR
4 - 1
SPO
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BBT
0 - 2
OUR
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |