Céltiga FC vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 2
CEL
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CEL
5 - 0
OVA
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
VIV
1 - 1
CEL
74%
16%
9%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
CEL
2 - 2
COX
21%
28%
51%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DEP
3 - 0
CEL
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
OVA
1 - 3
LUG
15%
23%
62%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 1
COX
65%
21%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
NAR
2 - 4
LUG
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
LUG
1 - 3
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ARO
0 - 3
LUG
28%
29%
43%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |