Céltiga FC vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ARE
2 - 1
CEL
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 0
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
NEG
2 - 0
CEL
48%
24%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
OUR
2 - 2
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 0
NOI
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SOM
2 - 1
CHO
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 1
CUL
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 2
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHO
14%
21%
65%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |