Scottish League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 9-1
Celtic vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
FAL
0 - 1
CEL
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
CEL
2 - 0
HIB
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
CEL
6 - 1
EAS
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
AIR
1 - 2
CEL
61%
18%
21%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1957 |
HIB
3 - 1
CEL
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
RAI
4 - 2
TLA
77%
13%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
STI
0 - 1
TLA
37%
23%
41%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
GRE
3 - 3
TLA
68%
16%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
TLA
3 - 0
STE
64%
17%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1957 |
TLA
2 - 0
STI
78%
13%
9%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |