Celtic vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 2
ABE
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 0
STM
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CEL
4 - 0
KIL
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HIB
0 - 4
CEL
19%
23%
59%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CEL
3 - 0
MHE
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 4
STJ
19%
23%
57%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 0
STJ
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
STJ
34%
28%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
STJ
3 - 3
HOM
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
STJ
2 - 0
STM
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |