Celtic vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
1º
1º
35
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 4
CEL
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 4
CEL
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 100 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DCU
0 - 4
CEL
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
QUE
4 - 6
CEL
15%
19%
66%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 1
CEL
16%
19%
66%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
CER
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
KIL
5 - 0
BAR
76%
16%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 4
KIL
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
KIL
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |