Celtic vs Kilmarnock analysis

Celtic Kilmarnock
83 ELO 79
28.1% Tilt 28.1%
467º General ELO ranking 531º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
65.7%
Celtic
19.6%
Draw
14.7%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
Celtic
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.7%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+23%
-5%
Kilmarnock

Points and table prediction

Celtic
Their league position
Kilmarnock
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
35
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Celtic
81
81
100%
Rangers
66
66
100%
Hibernian FC
53
53
100%
Dundee United
50
50
100%
Aberdeen
50
50
100%
St. Mirren
41
41
100%
Heart of Midlothian
40
40
100%
Motherwell
39
39
100%
Kilmarnock
35
35
0%
Ross County FC
10º
35
35
10º
0%
Dundee
11º
34
34
11º
100%
St. Johnstone
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Celtic
Kilmarnock
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Celtic
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2024
CHL
Chelsea
1 - 4
Celtic
CEL
73%
17%
11%
83 94 11 0
24 Jul. 2024
MAC
Manchester City
3 - 4
Celtic
CEL
91%
7%
2%
83 100 17 0
21 Jul. 2024
DCU
DC United
0 - 4
Celtic
CEL
39%
23%
38%
83 81 2 0
10 Jul. 2024
QUE
Queen's Park
4 - 6
Celtic
CEL
15%
19%
66%
83 64 19 0
05 Jul. 2024
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 1
Celtic
CEL
16%
19%
66%
83 65 18 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2024
CER
Cercle Brugge
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
64%
21%
15%
80 86 6 0
25 Jul. 2024
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Cercle Brugge
CER
30%
25%
45%
80 86 6 0
19 Jul. 2024
KIL
Kilmarnock
5 - 0
Barrow
BAR
76%
16%
9%
80 59 21 0
14 Jul. 2024
AUC
Auchinleck Talbot
0 - 4
Kilmarnock
KIL
14%
21%
65%
80 51 29 0
11 Jul. 2024
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
26%
25%
49%
80 65 15 0