Celtic vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 4
CEL
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
CEL
20%
24%
56%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
MHE
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
HIB
0 - 5
CEL
18%
23%
59%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ICT
1 - 1
KIL
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KIL
0 - 0
STJ
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
KIL
1 - 3
HIB
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
4 - 0
KIL
58%
24%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GLA
0 - 1
KIL
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |