UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 1-0
Celtic vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 2
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
CLI
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
CLI
0 - 3
CEL
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
HIB
0 - 3
CEL
18%
20%
62%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 4
CEL
33%
24%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ATV
1 - 1
ELF
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 4
ELF
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ELF
7 - 1
FCD
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ELF
2 - 2
HAL
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
ELF
0 - 1
ATV
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |