Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
92
1º
1º
1º
48
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
STM
1 - 5
CEL
13%
20%
68%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GLA
1 - 2
CEL
43%
22%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
4 - 0
ABE
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
5 - 1
STM
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 4
CEL
11%
19%
70%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 0
STJ
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MHE
2 - 0
HOM
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 2
HOM
15%
21%
65%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
HOM
0 - 3
GLA
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |