Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 3
CEL
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MHE
0 - 2
CEL
31%
26%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 1
RAI
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
DUN
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
SLB
27%
25%
49%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HOM
1 - 3
KIL
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
HOM
3 - 1
LIV
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 3
HOM
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
STM
2 - 0
HOM
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
HOM
0 - 1
DUN
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |